Although Trump made inroads among minority voters, notably Black and Hispanic men, the difference between 20 might be mainly that the share of the white vote declined from 71 percent to 65 percent, according to exit polling.ĭespite the constant drama of the Trump presidency, for the most part he enjoyed tremendous luck. Going into this year's election, population changes meant that Trump would lose if all groups voted the same way they did in 2016. This year, his sometimes overtly racist statements and policies helped drive away independents and college-educated voters, particularly suburban women. He helped stave off the Democrats' long-touted demographic advantages by bringing out more white voters, particularly men. In 2016, running against an unpopular avatar of the incumbent party, Trump managed to tap into feelings of resentment and a desire to shake things up. Trump has so completely dominated national life that it’s easy to forget he barely won four years ago. That turned out not to be a wise move for a politician a majority of the country consistently disliked. He made essentially no effort to win over voters beyond his base. He has reshaped one of the country’s major political parties, initially quite skeptical about him, after his own image.īut while Trump has been a masterful intraparty politician - winning nearly universal support among Republicans - he has not been strong at interparty politics. Trump, a true political outsider, won election to the presidency in his first run for office. There will be any number of explanations for Trump’s loss in the days and weeks to come, but some factors are clear already: Biden's final lead, though inflated, had essentially been unchanged since the summer of 2019. The polls may have overstated Biden's lead, but the shape of the presidential race was clear long before the coronavirus emerged. He was able to turn out the party's vote, but some small percentage of people voted against him before supporting Republicans further down the ballot, attesting to his personal vulnerabilities. Trump ran behind Republican House candidates nationwide. 5 runoffs to decide the two seats in Georgia. Republicans appear on track to hold the U.S. Democrats lost seats in the House, failed to win any legislative chambers and suffered a net loss of one governorship (Montana). They also regained ground at the legislative level following the GOP's dominance since 2010.ĭemocrats were unable to improve their positions last Tuesday. House and winning nine governorships in states Trump carried four years ago. Instead, many Americans became radicalized, protesting by the millions starting the day after his inauguration and joining the self-styled resistance.ĭemocrats began rebuilding, taking control of the U.S. He’s the only president of the polling era never to win approval from the majority of the country.
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